Here We Go Again!: Investment Advisors Warn Of Dangers Of
Wrong-Headed Rush To New Tech "Boom" Listen Now
ZAG Experts Caution That "Tech is Not an Asset Class - It is
Part of Other Asset Classes"; Concerns Raised by Leading Fee-Only
Financial Advisors from MO, SC and WA State.
WASHINGTON, D.C.//September 17, 2003//Why are investors so eager
today to crowd into a new tech stock "boom" when many of them are
still recovering from the financial injuries that they suffered in
the last 'Net stock craze? Three leading fee-only investment
advisors from across the United States who are members of the Zero
Alpha Group (ZAG) warned today that investors need to slow down and
think twice before jumping back into a tech stock boom that may turn
out to be more volatile than the last one.
"Investors have to understand that tech is not an asset class and,
as such, it simply doesn't deserve the degree of attention that it
is getting lavished on it today," said Plancorp President Jeff
Buckner of Chesterfield, Missouri, a suburb of St. Louis.
"Technology stocks can and should play a role in a well-designed
asset allocation strategy, but they should not become an obsession
for investors. It is that kind of gambling-oriented mentality that
leads to big and expensive mistakes from which investors sometimes
never are able to come back. The way for investors to minimize the
danger of getting clobbered in technology stocks is to fold them
into appropriate asset classes in their normal capitalization
weightings within large caps, small caps, and so on."
The ZAG members noted that the temptations are building for
investors to dive into tech stocks. As of mid-September, the
tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index has gained 38 percent
year-to-date. Recent news accounts have fueled speculation about a
new tech boom, noting, for example, a resurgence in interest in
risky 'Net-related investment public offerings (IPOs).
James E. Wilson, president of James E. Wilson Advisors in Columbia,
S.C., said: "Investors have lived through three years of a bear
market. They watched tech stocks go from sky high to bankruptcy. As
a result, they now have a more realistic view of risk. At the same
time, though, tech stocks can often function like financial junk
food. We all know that junk food can give one a short term high but
can create long term problems. That seems to be the psychology that
is tempting investors who were just burned in tech three years ago
to return like a moth to the flame."
AVOIDING THE "TECH BUG" BITE
What is the alternative to giving in to the siren call of surging
tech stocks? The ZAG experts give the following advice:
-
Be a strategic investor, not a tech-crazed
gambler. Investors who have worked out a long-term financial
plan, either with an investment advisor or on their own, are
much less likely to gamble and lose their money in
1,000-to-one shots in tech stocks. An investment "strategy"
of shooting from the hip is the antithesis of the cool,
methodical approach of asset allocation. Reliance upon
emotion almost always leads to "big bets" on long-shot
companies and other investment products that then fail to
deliver.
-
Increase diversity through "passive
investment." Investments - especially mutual funds - that
are actively managed, tend to have a smaller number of
stocks and are therefore more risky. Index funds (which own
broadly diversified baskets of stocks and/or bonds) are a
wise choice because they are much more diversified, lower
cost, and serve as superior building blocks for implementing
effective asset allocation strategies.
"Passive investing reduces risk through diversity, lowers expenses
and helps in the management of tax liability," said Scott Sarber,
vice president of Petersen Hastings Investment Management in
Kennewick, Washington. "Active management - especially when you're
chasing tech stocks - can add horrific stress to an investment
portfolio and, just as importantly, to the day-to-day lives of
investors. That isn't necessary. and it certainly isn't a successful
strategy. Long-term success in investing isn't about what's 'hot' or
'sexy' today. It's about getting a real plan and sticking to it."
- Rebalance your portfolio, no matter what the market
conditions may be. What the market is going to do tomorrow or
next month is the great unknown, say the ZAG experts. Many
investors may think they are properly allocating their portfolio
by following a simple formula, such as "70 percent stocks and 30
percent bonds." However, this one-size-fits-all approach does
not recognize the complexity of the investment world (including
investment styles, U.S. v. global considerations, and so on),
which must be reckoned with in order to have a truly
comprehensive and broadly diversified approach to asset
allocation.
"Many investors are reluctant to rebalance their investment
portfolios right now, especially if it's doing well," Buckner said.
"What most people don't realize is that you sometimes need to
rebalance precisely because you're seeing significant gains at a
specific point in time. It may be time to sell some of those
'winners' and bring your portfolio back to its original
diversification. After all, it is diversity that is the likely
reason the portfolio saw gains in the first place. The whole problem
with the 'tech bug' approach is that it is sector oriented and the
smart move is to avoid sector concentrations as a strategy.
Investors don't get paid for taking risks that can - and should - be
diversified away."
ABOUT THE FIRMS
J.E. Wilson Advisors LLC, Columbia, S.C. - J.E. Wilson was founded
in 1982 as the first fee-only financial advisory firm in South
Carolina. The firm provides objective, long-term private wealth
management solutions to investors, with a special focus on the
wealth planning and management needs of physicians and their
families, using the firm's Integrated Economic Solution. R J.E.
Wilson Advisors is on the Web at
http://www.jewilson.com.
Petersen Hastings Investment Management, Kennewick, WA. - Petersen
Hastings, an independent investment advisor founded in 1962, manages
assets through a strategy of asset allocation and indexing. The firm
serves its clients - including retirement plans, trusts, non-profit
organizations, foundations and established individuals - using its
proprietary Disciplined Wealth SolutionT and Core Values Investment
ProgramT, which is a solution for socially responsible investing.
Petersen Hastings is on the Web at
http://www.petersenhastings.com.
Plancorp, Inc., Chesterfield, MO. - Plancorp focuses on the
management of wealth for high net worth individuals and has done so
since 1983. The firm provides personal and business transition
planning, investment management, family office services and business
consulting services, using its Personal Transition ProcessT and
Intelligent Investor SolutionT. Plancorp is on the Web at
http://www.plancorp.com.
ABOUT THE ZERO ALPHA GROUP
Founded in 1995, the Zero Alpha Group, which is not an investment
advisory firm itself, was created to serve as a nationwide network
for seven independent fee-only investment advisory firms that manage
approximately $2.0 billion in assets. Members of the Group are
committed to providing objective, long-term private wealth
management solutions to investors, focusing on asset allocation and
a structured, quantitative approach to investing. The seven firms in
the Zero Alpha Group network share a common philosophy about
investing and client service - a commitment to passive, tax-managed
investment strategies while providing an independent, fee-only
financial planning solution for investors.
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